| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | L | Alabama | 10-48 | 1546.3 | -58.9 | 1487.3 | 3.0% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | L | App State | 24-27 | 1487.3 | +27.8 | 1515.1 | 55.5% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | Old Dominion | 20-17 | 1515.1 | +13.9 | 1529.0 | 52.2% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | North Carolina Central | 42-9 | 1529.0 | +2.4 | 1531.4 | 96.6% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Rice | 28-12 | 1530.6 | +6.7 | 1537.3 | 72.4% |